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本期主题: The Demography of the Great Migration in China


Differential population growths are fundamental drivers of migration. Surprisingly little empirical research probes in the demography of migration. We analyze the demography of China’s internal migration in 1996—2015. We construct bilateral migration flows across Chinese prefectures, and exploit over-time variations in cohort sizes induced by the great famine and China’s birth-control policies. We explore asymmetric impacts of “push” and “pull” demographic factors in determining cross-prefecture migration. While a growth of rural cohort sizes in the origin prefectures pushes out migrants, a decline of urban cohort sizes in destination prefectures pulls in migrants. Short physical and social distances magnify the push and pull effects of cohort sizes. We also explore the demography of migration by skills, directions of flow, and purposes of migration.

报告人:郭汝飞教授, 武汉大学经济与管理学院

时间:526日(周三 12:15



郭汝飞,武汉大学经济与管理学院长聘副教授,世界经济系副系主任,健康经济与管理研究中心执行主任。研究领域为微观发展经济学,健康经济学和国际经济学。论文发表于Economic Journal, Journal of Development Economics, Journal of Comparative Economics和《经济研究》等学术期刊。主持国家自然科学基金项目,并担任中国经济学年会人口劳动与健康经济专业委员会委员